Thursday, March 31, 2011

Science and the Word of Wisdom

When it comes to scripture being ahead of science, the Word of Wisdom (WofW) (D&C 89) is one of the first examples that comes to mind, in part, because of its iconic status. The ill effects of alcohol and tobacco are well established, and the prescription of grains, fruits, vegetables, and limited meat are in line with modern recommended dietary guidelines. It seems like a slam dunk example of scripture leading science, and it is often touted as such. However, it's a little more complicated than that.

As a historical matter, the Word of Wisdom was not really revolutionary for its time. It came amidst a temperance movement that made similar recommendations. Further, Lester Bush [1] has shown that it also matched the leading medical opinion of the time quite well. This is not because the physicians of the time suspected that, say, tobacco could cause cancer (a claim not made by the WofW either), but because the cause of disease was understood differently and the proscribed substances were thought to be contributing factors.

It might be argued that the endorsement of fruits and vegetables, with moderation in meat, was ahead of its time, but I don't think this is necessarily the case for two reasons. First, this counsel also matched medical opinion of the time (particularly the emphasis on seasons), but for reasons different than one would think today. Second, well, what else were the Saints going to eat? The dietary guidance of the WofW was basically what most of humanity had been doing since its beginning (or at least since the invention of agriculture).

There are also a couple of places where the WofW does not match current science, or does so tenuously. Tobacco is an interesting case. Long used in Native American folk medicine, it became a prominent medicinal treatment in European and colonial American medicine. In fact, it came to be viewed by some as a panacea and the list of ailments that it was alleged to cure--including bruises--was long. Although its use had been controversial for some time, the tide of enthusiasm for it began to turn in earnest in the nineteenth century. Nicotine was chemically isolated by chemists Posselt and Riemann in 1828 (five years before the WofW) and thereafter it's medicinal use came under sustained attack [2].

As for its endorsed uses, a search of Pubmed for references to tobacco and bruises did not turn up any relevant articles. Apparently BYU professor Rulon Francis found that bruises in rats treated with tobacco juice healed 20% faster. This finding was highlighted in the New York Times (Apr 28, 1981), but the story appears to end there. Although Francis published his method for bruising the rats, he does not appear to have published his tobacco findings. Thus the evidence for bruise-healing properties of tobacco is preliminary at best. The WofW also directs the use of tobacco for "all sick cattle," which is quite an inclusive category and recalls the reputation of tobacco as a panacea. Bush found that, historically, the use of tobacco in cattle was much less common than its use in horses. At any rate, whether or not tobacco would effectively treat any cattle ailments, a literal interpretation holding that tobacco is good for all sick cattle just isn't tenable.

Finally, the WofW prescribes various grains for livestock, including "rye for the fowls and for swine." However, as Steve Peck brought to my attention in his post, No death before the rye, chickens do not do well on diets heavy in rye. A little Internet searching turns up the reason: rye contains substances that interfere with digestion. Additionally, both swine and poultry find rye to be less palatable than other grains.

Before ending I should clarify that the question of whether the WofW was scientifically novel is largely a separate question from whether it was inspired. At the time it was given there were already socially and medically-based reasons to think that the proscribed substances were "not for the body, neither for the belly," and that grain and fruit were good. In most of these cases our modern knowledge has added to or replaced the old reasons, magnifying the inspiration in our eyes. Further, the WofW does not spell out any reasons for its recommendations other than that it is given "in consequence of evils and designs which do and will exist in the hearts of conspiring men in the last days."

So to summarize, although portions of the WofW have been borne out by modern science in a dramatic way, the WofW was not scientifically novel for its time and cannot be said to have--to paraphrase John Walton--offered a novel scientific perspective at the time. In coming to this conclusion, it's important to recognize that we are addressing a narrow question that has little to do with its revelatory basis and relevance today.


Notes:

1. Lester Bush (1981), The Word of Wisdom in Early Nineteenth-Century Perspective [PDF].

2. Grace G. Stewart (1967), A history of the medicinal use of tobacco 1492-1860.

See also:

Anne Charlton (2004), Medicinal uses of tobacco in history.

Word of Wisdom in the Encyclopedia of Mormonism

Michael Ash (2000), Up in Smoke: A Response to the Tanners' Criticism of the Word of Wisdom



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Sunday, March 27, 2011

John Walton on Scripture and Science

In the Lost World of Genesis One, John Walton argues against concordism--the attempt to make science and scripture match. In the course of his discussion of scientifically outdated beliefs that can be found in the Bible (existence of a firmament, entrails as the seat of thought, etc) he makes this provocative statement (p. 19):

Through the entire Bible, there is not a single instance in which God revealed to Israel a science beyond their own culture. No passage offers a scientific perspective that was not common to the Old World science of antiquity.
Is Walton right? And is this also true for our other scriptures? In the next few posts I plan to explore this a little more, especially as it pertains to our additional scriptures.

I should note that there are at least two ways to argue against Walton's statement without having to provide a clear counter-example. First, you can say that science hasn't caught up to scripture, or that scientific data are not interpreted correctly, so that such a judgment is premature. The other is to claim that of course the ancients understood the scientific truth of the matter. It was the intervening apostates who obscured that understanding in the scriptures. However, while there may be substance to these arguments, they both rely on unknown information. In the meantime, we can discuss some of the things that we do know.


(I am assembling a list of topics to explore. Here is your chance to make suggested additions: In what ways have the scriptures been ahead of science?)


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Tuesday, March 22, 2011

Prophets, Scripture, and Science

I've been doing some thinking about the relationship between prophets, scripture, and science. I think that I have enough material for a loosely cohesive series of posts. Much of what I will present represents continued exploration, so I hope to get some outside input. To start things off, I want to juxtapose two quotes. The first is from Hugh Nibley's The World and the Prophets (p. 134), and is one you may have seen before.

The words of the prophets cannot be held to the tentative and defective tests that men have devised for them. Science, philosophy, and common sense all have a right to their day in court. But the last word does not lie with them. Every time men in their wisdom have come forth with the last word, other words have promptly followed. The last word is a testimony of the gospel that comes only by direct revelation. Our Father in heaven speaks it, and if it were in perfect agreement with the science of today, it would surely be out of line with the science of tomorrow. Let us not, therefore, seek to hold God to the learned opinions of the moment when he speaks the language of eternity."
Now let's look at a passage from Conrad Hyers' book, The Meaning of Creation (p. 30-31). You may recall Hyers, formerly a professor of religion at Gustavus Adolphus College, from a previous post. The book was published in 1984 and is an extended argument for rejecting concordist assumptions about the creation account.
Again and again in the history of modern science, efforts have been made to correlate the Bible with the newest scientific data and theory in geology, paleontology, biology, physics, chemistry, and astronomy. If Genesis, however, were to be harmonized with the prevailing science of any particular generation, it would necessarily be out of harmony with the prevailing science of every other generation....To effect a "reconciliation" of science and Scripture at any one point in history would be a dubious achievement. To try to discredit some prevailing scientific theory and discount scientific evidence on the grounds that they will eventually be proved wrong and the Bible proved right is to keep matters of faith in everlasting suspension. Biblical affirmations are in harmony with the science of every period and culture, not because they have been harmonized by enterprising souls, but precisely because they have little to do with science.
These passages strike me as remarkably similar. Now for some discussion questions.

Is Nibley correct to say that revelation is the last word? Actually, he says that the last word lies with "a testimony of the gospel." Is that different?

What does Hyers mean when he says that assuming science will eventually be proved wrong and the Bible right "is to keep matters of faith in everlasting suspension"? Does this apply to our additional scriptural works?


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Wednesday, March 09, 2011

111

Sorry for the radio silence. Life has been busy and I haven't felt much motivating fire to post. And even when I have, I've felt it would be material that would weary you dear readers. So here is a little diversion.

I am told that people on Facebook have discovered a cosmic mystery associated with the number 111. (I don't have a Facebook account, myself). The basis for this mystery is the following:

Take your age in 2011 (e.g. say, 47).
Now add the year you were born (e.g. '64).
Low and behold, you get 111...and in the year 2011! And the crazy part is that this works for everyone born before the year 2000! (But even those born after 2000 get 11!) [Cue Twilight Zone music.]

People, this is not mysterious. Think about it this way:

2011 - 47 = 1964

1964 - 64 = 1900

2011 - 1900 = 111

A person that I explained this to was a little disappointed. They said my explanation kind of took the mystique out of it.

There are relationships among numbers that have a legitimate kind of mystique about them. This is not one of them.

Sorry if I ruined your day.


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Friday, February 25, 2011

Inspector General Report Finds No Scientific Misconduct at NOAA

Yet another investigation into the 'Climategate' non-scandal--this one by the Department of Commerce Inspector General--finds nothing of real scientific relevance. From NOAA's press release:

At the request of U.S. Sen. Inhofe, the Department of Commerce Inspector General conducted an independent review of the emails stolen in November 2009 from the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) at the University of East Anglia in Norwich, England, and found no evidence of impropriety or reason to doubt NOAA’s handling of its climate data. The Inspector General was asked to look into how NOAA reacted to the leak and to determine if there was evidence of improper manipulation of data, failure to adhere to appropriate peer review procedures, or failure to comply with Information Quality Act and Freedom of Information Act guidelines....
The Inspector General’s report states specifically:

* “We found no evidence in the CRU emails that NOAA inappropriately manipulated data comprising the [Global Historical Climatology Network – monthly] GHCN-M dataset.” (Page 11)

* “We found no evidence in the CRU emails to suggest that NOAA failed to adhere to its peer review procedures prior to its dissemination of information.” (Page 11)

* “We found no evidence in the CRU emails to suggest that NOAA violated its obligations under the IQA.” (Page 12)

* “We found no evidence in the CRU emails to suggest that NOAA violated its obligations under the Shelby Amendment.” (Page 16)
Full report here.




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Sunday, February 20, 2011

Order from Chaos

The second law of thermodynamics states that the universe is increasing in entropy. This is often casually interpreted to mean that everything in the universe is tending toward decay and disorder. This may ultimately be true, but our intuition based on our experience with disorder in everyday life is not always a good guide on the matter.

You wouldn't think that a bunch of molecules shaking around could produce any order, but that's what constantly goes on inside every cell of your body. Animations of cellular processes usually depict molecules coming together in an ordered and purposeful fashion, but reality is not as neat. A good example is the assembly of viruses.

Viruses are parasites of living cells; they enter cells, commandeer the cellular machinery and use it to produce more viruses, then leave to find more cells in which to replicate. Many viruses assemble a protein shell that is formed from smaller subunits. This assembly is depicted in the following cartoon (from Alberts, Molecular Biology of the Cell).



The virus is built through self-assembly, a process that is foreign to our daily experience. With that in mind, have a look at these two videos, which model the self-assembly of viruses. (I found them in a post at BioLogos discussing God and randomness.)






Note that the second law of thermodynamics is never violated. The flow of entropy simply takes a route that is not immediately obvious.

Aside from being interesting in their own right, viruses, and these models, serve as a reminder that we should be cautious about using our intuition as a guide to what is or isn't plausible under the second law of thermodynamics. If you think of the Big Bang as a kind of explosion, you might mistakenly think that the immediate product was a disordered universe with very low entropy. Think instead of a universe filled with hydrogen which, under the attractive force of gravity, condenses to form stars, which ultimately produce the rest of the elements and the earth upon which we live.


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Friday, January 28, 2011

Five Reasons Fox News Climate Article is Wrong

I can't speak to the true frequency, but it doesn't seem like it is that often that almost everything in a news article is wrong. But FoxNews.com's article, Five Reasons the Planet May Not Be Its Hottest Ever is one of them. It's almost as if it was written on what, as children, we used to call "opposite day." If you are willing to dig behind it a little, the article is almost educational--in a backwards kind of way. Media Matters has a pretty thorough takedown (Fox Tries To Debunk Global Warming, Fails Miserably), which is how I found out about the article in the first place, but I thought I would chime in.

Things get off to a bad start with the headline because it suggests that scientists believe that the planet is the hottest it has ever been in its whole history. Nobody is making that claim--only that it is the hottest on record (and likely for last two thousand years). But bad headlines are a dime a dozen, so let's move on.

The article sets up the World Meteorological Organization's recent announcement that 2010 ties 2005 and 1998 for the warmest (globally speaking) years on record as the backdrop. This is true--the WMO did make that announcement. The article then turns to absurdities with this transition:

But how reliable is the data? Here are five good reasons some scientists are skeptical of these claims.
(Attention editor: "data" is a plural word.)

Reason #1: First the article impugns the instrumental temperature record by suggesting (via Anthony Watts) that the warming is an artifact of sensor placement, and second, by claiming that satellite measurements are better and more pure. Let's break this down for a moment.

A. Anthony Watts is one of the better known climate skeptics. He has organized an effort to photograph and catalog the nation's temperature sensors. His shtick is to show photos of sensors near asphalt, air conditioners, BBQ grills, or whatever and suggest that the instrumental warming is simply a reflection of these conditions. He has yet to provide any kind of systematic analysis. However, since he made the information public, scientists at NOAA did an analysis and found that there was almost no difference between suspicious sensors and unobjectionable ones. In fact, the purportedly artificially warmed sensors actually showed a cool bias. Of course Watts does not accept this outcome, but so far it is the only non-anecdotal analysis done.

B. Roy Spencer is an actual climatologist and is a favorite of climate skeptics because he thinks the warming is mostly natural, not caused by CO2 emissions. But note that he does accept that the planet is warming. In fact, here is a direct quote from his blog:
WHO WINS THE RACE FOR WARMEST YEAR?
As far as the race for warmest year goes, 1998 (+0.424 deg. C) barely edged out 2010 (+0.411 deg. C), but the difference (0.01 deg. C) is nowhere near statistically significant. So feel free to use or misuse those statistics to your heart’s content.
Gee, isn't that kind of like what the WMO said?

Media Matters notes that the the satellite data are also adjusted and processed, and they quote Spencer saying Fox News goofed on this one. A little history makes this claim even more rich and ironic. In the late 1990s the UAH satellite data showed no warming even though the ground-based instruments did show warming. It's because the satellites were more accurate, right? Wrong. It turned out that an adjustment for orbital decay was not being made, and when the adjustment was implemented--surprise!--the two data sets fit together a lot better. In fact, if we compare some of the surface instruments with satellites, we get the following picture (from Skeptical Science):

(A quick and dirty guide: GISS = NASA, RSS and UAH = satellites; HADCRUT = British.)

So let's just pause and take stock for a moment. The surface instruments are unreliable because they are next to BBQ grills and whatnot and the data are manipulated, so satellites are better. But satellites show the same trend as surface instruments--and, in fact, a previous disagreement between the two led to the discovery that a needed adjustment for satellites was not being done. Meanwhile, one of the quoted "skeptics" basically endorsed the WMO statement at the top. Need we go on? Yes, but very quickly.

Reason #2: Lord Monckton says global sea ice is not declining. My rule of thumb: Don't believe anything Monckton says.

Reason #3: Japan agrees that the warming is all due to El Niño...and CO2. (doh!)

Reason #4: Britain had the coldest December on record. But the cited temperature record is limited to the interior of Britain. The ways of Britain are no longer the ways of the world.

Reason #5: Failed predictions. Climate is not the same as weather. And the quote about snow being rare is goofy, but ultimately taken out of context.



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Saturday, January 22, 2011

John Walton Ancient Cosmology Lecture

Earlier this month I reviewed John Walton's The Lost World of Genesis One. Today I happened to come across an hour-long lecture by Walton that lays out his major arguments. It's audio only, but all six parts are embedded below. So if you don't want to get the book, you can get a good sense of it by spending an hour listening to him.

On a side note, both in the book and lecture, Walton said that a Hebrew word translated as "mind" is actually a reference to entrails or intestines. Anybody know what the Hebrew word is (preferably with an example from the Old Testament)?
















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