Friday, July 22, 2016

Make America Better by Leaving - A Potent Image

My family and I visited the Statue of Liberty in the fall of 2011. The presidential race was in full swing, and of course we now know that Mitt Romney would ultimately win the Republican nomination but lose to Barack Obama in the general election. As I toured the museum in the base of the statue, I was struck by the following display (click to enlarge):


Given the prominence of immigration in political debate at the time, I immediately thought it came from an earlier era of anti-immigrant sentiment and was displayed because of its renewed relevance. However, as I looked closer I saw that it was an advertisement for the Peace Corps. The ad suggested that the things people would learn and perspective they would gain while serving abroad in the Peace Corp would make them better people, and therefore make America better. Amused by the potency of the image and my misunderstanding of it, I took a picture.

I had no idea that in five years this image could serve as a blunt political cartoon capturing with uncanny accuracy the campaign slogan and policy proposals of the next presidential nominee of the Republican party.



Continue reading...

Friday, June 03, 2016

Book of Mormon Genetics: Good News and Bad News

As scientists have uncovered the genetic heritage of Native Americans, they've consistently found that heritage is rooted in ancient East Asia. Since this conflicts with expectations based on traditional interpretation of the Book of Mormon, a number of arguments have been put forward to explain why a Middle-Eastern genetic signal has not been found [1]. These arguments are summarized in the Church's Gospel Topics essay that treats this issue.

One of those arguments is that a genetic bottleneck may have removed the genetic markers of Book of Mormon peoples so that they cannot be found among living descendants. As the essay puts it:

In addition to the catastrophic war at the end of the Book of Mormon, the European conquest of the Americas in the 15th and 16th centuries touched off just such a cataclysmic chain of events. As a result of war and the spread of disease, many Native American groups experienced devastating population losses. One molecular anthropologist observed that the conquest “squeezed the entire Amerindian population through a genetic bottleneck.” He concluded, “This population reduction has forever altered the genetics of the surviving groups, thus complicating any attempts at reconstructing the pre-Columbian genetic structure of most New World groups.”

A recent study [2] adds support to this argument. The scientists sequenced the whole mitochondrial genome obtained from 92 pre-Columbian South American skeletons that range in age from 500 years ago to 8.6 thousand years ago. As the abstract puts it:
All of the ancient mitochondrial lineages detected in this study were absent from modern data sets, suggesting a high extinction rate.
This result directly supports the argument that many genetic lineages have been lost. That's the good news.

The bad news is that all of those lost lineages fall within the standard family of mtDNA haplogroups one would expect to find based on the ancient East Asian origin of Native Americans. In other words, although those lineages apparently went extinct, they are still within the family of lineages that were brought by the original Asian colonizers of the Americas.

If you look at the map from the supplementary materials, you'll see that the samples came from areas not generally considered Book of Mormon lands. Further, only two of the samples are dated from within the time frame of the main Book of Mormon narrative [3]. The rest of the samples are either prior to 600 BC, or after 400 AD (though still pre-Columbian). So it's not like this is some kind of slam dunk against the Book of Mormon. However, it does help to establish the perimeter of genetic plausibility.

It will be interesting to see what data emerges as the spaciotemporal resolution of such studies increases.




Notes:
1. X2a doesn't appear to fit the bill because even if it originated in the Middle East, it entered the Americas at least 8-9,000 years ago--too early for accepted Book of Mormon chronology.

2. Llamas B, Fehren-Schmitz L, Valverde G, et al. Ancient mitochondrial DNA provides high-resolution time scale of the peopling of the Americas. Sci Adv. 2016 Apr 1;2(4):e1501385. doi:10.1126/sciadv.1501385

3. Maybe. The range of uncertainty in dating those two samples (325-440 AD; 100-650 AD) is such that they might fall just outside of Moroni's lifetime.


Continue reading...

Thursday, April 28, 2016

Creationist Smackdown: Pterosaur Edition

While browsing The Guardian today, I came across a fun creationist smackdown. An article from the Institute for Creation Research (one of the larger, well-known creationist organizations) suggested that evolutionary presuppositions led to the initial incorrect judgment that pterosaurs could not fly. Paleontologist Dave Hone, who studies pterosaurs, would have none of that and effectively shows not only that the article is wrong on historic grounds (i.e. the history of science), but that it was actually creationists of the time who originally thought pterosaurs couldn't fly. Speaking to creationists and referring to current knowledge, the last sentence sums it up nicely:

It is scientific researchers who got us here, not you; those outmoded ideas you are sneering at as having come from incorrect preconceptions came from your philosophical ancestors, not ours.

I have a long-standing rule of thumb that creationists simply cannot be trusted, and it is because of things like this. That's not to say that everything mainstream scientists write is 100% accurate (scientifically or historically), but I find that it's best never to accept a creationist argument at face value. The moment you think that a creationist has a good point is the moment you should be very cautious.


Continue reading...

Thursday, February 18, 2016

The Basis for ABO Blood Typing Undermines Common Design

When Darwin first proposed the idea of common descent there seemed to be no evolutionary connection between humans and apes. Then the bones and fossils of extinct Neanderthals and other human/ape-like creatures began to come forth--some more like humans, some more like apes--providing confirmation that Darwin was on the right track. Meanwhile scientists began to discover that the proteins of humans and other apes were similar. When the structure and coding of DNA was worked out, scientists began determining the sequence of genes, culminating in the sequencing of whole genomes in the last 15 years or so, including that of Neanderthals. What scientists found in genetic sequence solidified the inferences already arrived at by other means: that among living species, humans are most closely related to chimpanzees and gorillas, with which they share a common ancestor. The evidence for common descent contained in our DNA is rich and multi-layered.

Creationists, however, counter that similarity of DNA is not evidence for common descent. Rather, it is evidence of common design. The basic idea is that since humans and chimpanzees (or any other grouping of species) have similar anatomy and physiology, it makes sense that the Designer would use similar genetic sequences. This assertion certainly has a commonsensical appeal since it casts biology as an extension of human experience in the modern era of mass production, computer programming, and bio-engineering.

The central paradox of this assertion is that in attributing commonalities to common design, one must also attribute to design many ordinary and mundane genetic characteristics that are otherwise explainable on principles of microevolution. Those who make the common design assertion rarely address the patterns of both similarities and differences.

The ABO blood system makes for an interesting case study. The system is a classic example of genetic co-dominance that is often taught in high school biology class, and is also a classic example of the need for matching in blood transfusions or organ transplants. The basis for the system is the pattern of certain molecules expressed on human blood cells and other organs and tissues. Everyone expresses the basic molecule called the H antigen, and if your blood type is O, that's the end of the story. People with A, B, or AB blood-type also have genes for glycosytransferases, which are enzymes that add an extra sugar molecule onto the H antigen--kind of like topping off a Christmas tree with a star, or adding a cherry to an ice cream sundae. The difference between A and B is the type of sugar molecule added to the H antigen. The A enzyme adds one kind, the B enzyme adds a different one. People with type O don't technically lack the transferase genes, they just have versions that are broken due to mutation, though there are no known diseases associated with this. The immune system of people with O or A type will react against type B antigen as a foreign invader, and the same applies to people with O or B in relation to A antigen. People with both genes (A and B) will make both antigens (A and B), and therefore their immune system will not react against A antigen, B antigen, or H (O) antigen.

The A and B glycosyltransferases are actually extremely similar. In fact, there are only four amino acids different between them, and only two of those determine which sugar the enzyme adds to H antigen. I have aligned the protein sequences [1] of the A and B transferases in the following figure. Letters are standard abbreviations for different amino acids (building blocks of proteins), and periods represent identical amino acids. I have highlighted the four differences, and the blue arrows point to the two key amino acids that determine which sugar is added:

If we were to look at the DNA sequence we would see seven differences, instead of just four. However, three of those differences do not change the amino acid sequence. The reason is that many amino acids have several three-letter DNA codes (codons), so changing one of those DNA letters may simply change the three-letter codon to an equivalent codon. Such mutations are called silent because they have no effect on protein function. In contrast, in the four highlighted examples the change in the underlying DNA resulted in a codon for a different amino acid.

These two sequences are so similar that it shouldn't surprise you to learn that scientists believe that one of them originated from the other. At some point one of the genes was duplicated (a common occurrence), and mutations gave one of the two copies a different specificity. And the changes didn't stop there. What I have shown are the two most common sequences for A and B, but some people have variants (alleles) that have other mutations. Most of those mutations are silent, but some of them do change amino acids in various parts of the protein.

The ABO blood groups have been looked at in other animals, and primates have the same basic system. The following (modified) figure shows the evolutionary relationship of various primate species and the blood types that have been found [2]. (Click for bigger image.)
The ABO types are found in varying combinations among hominoids, old world monkeys, and new world monkeys. Previously it was thought that the B alleles were re-created from the A allele in several different lineages. However, a more recent study [2] found that the A and B alleles of the various species are more closely related to one another (A to A, B to B) than any of the A alleles are to the B alleles (with the apparent exception of orangutans). This implies that both A and B were present in the ancestor of primates, and that in some lineages one or the other has been independently lost. In contrast, the O alleles are not all closely related to each other (since there are many ways to break a gene).

Remember, the part of the protein that determines whether the transferase acts as type A or B is dependent on those two amino acids. Interestingly, some primates have a silent mutation in their A gene at one of the important amino acids. I have illustrated this difference with the following figure (compare to the blue arrows in the first figure above):
For each transferase gene, A and B, the DNA sequence is given with the amino acid translation below. The A gene has two versions of the DNA sequence, with the silent mutation (T) in red. Although you might expect CTG and TTG to code for different amino acids, a quick consultation of a codon table shows that both code for leucine (L).

Now here's where things get interesting. Let's look again at the figure showing primate evolutionary relationships, but this time I'll show it without modification [2].
It turns out that the silent mutation in the A gene is only found in old world monkeys; hominoids and new world monkeys have the other version (CTG). Overall, hominoids are more closely related to old world monkeys than new world monkeys, as shown in the figure. But for this piece of the A gene, old world monkeys are different. The simple evolutionary interpretation is that the silent mutation, which is probably selectively neutral, occurred in the lineage of old world monkeys just after they split away from the hominoid lineage. An alternative explanation is that there were multiple independent mutations in the old world monkey lineage. Clearly, several different species independently having the exact same mutation arise and become dominant in the population is of much lesser probability.

So What?

With all of that as background, let's turn our attention to the assertion that similar DNA represents similar design rather than an evolutionary relationship. If the Designer was using similar genetic sequence to make similar organisms, why make a silent DNA change only in old world monkeys?

There are three basic creationist responses that I can think of. First, it could be that each old world monkey species with type A independently had that mutation arise and become fixed in the population. This is essentially the same alternative that was rejected above.

Second, a creationist might argue that the pattern of A alleles represents a sense of whimsy and artistry by the designer. After all, sometimes we do things just because we feel like it. That such alleged artistry happens to also fit an evolutionary scenario might give us pause. At any rate, if the defense of someone's hypothesis when contradicted by the data is simply to assert that the Designer just felt like it, they clearly are not engaged in a scientific discussion and are instead simply seeking to rationalize a conclusion they have already made.

A third creationist argument is more subtle. He/she might note that silent mutations can have an effect on the efficiency with which a protein is made. So perhaps that silent mutation in the A gene actually plays an important role in the context of old world monkey gene expression and physiology. This argument contains at least a grain of legitimate science. That this one silent mutation affects the efficiency of gene expression is highly doubtful, but is testable in principle. However, the notion that it is important for the long-term survival of old world monkeys becomes absurd when you consider that:

1. Like humans, not every member of a particular old world monkey species will have the A gene. Whatever effect the mutation has is irrelevant for those individuals.

2. At least two old world monkey species have apparently lost the A gene altogether! Clearly the mutation has no relevance for those species.

3. As mentioned above, there are other alleles of the A gene found in humans that contain other mutations, and the same holds for old world monkeys. Natural mutations clearly do occur in the A gene. How can naturally occurring mutations be differentiated from designed ones?

Conclusion

Here we summarize and circle back to the paradox of the common design argument. Considering the variability of the presence of A and B genes within individuals, populations, and species, and considering the fact that various polymorphisms exist within each species (some of which are silent, some of which are not), can the difference of a single silent nucleotide really be justified on principles of common design?


Notes:
1. Source of sequences: Human A - http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/nuccore/58331215; Human B - http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/nuccore/AB844269.1

2. Ségurel L, Thompson EE, Flutre T, Lovstad J, Venkat A, Margulis SW, Moyse J, Ross S, Gamble K, Sella G, Ober C, Przeworski M. The ABO blood group is a trans-species polymorphism in primates. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2012 Nov 6;109(45):18493-8. Figure 1 from the paper contained a mistake; the corrected version is here.



Continue reading...

Sunday, February 07, 2016

The Difference Between Ancestry and Race

The current issue of the journal Science has a policy article discussing the pitfalls of using race in medical and genetic studies (Taking race out of human genetics). It is very easy to conflate race and ancestry, so I was struck by this paragraph that concisely explains the difference:

It is important to distinguish ancestry from a taxonomic notion such as race. Ancestry is a process-based concept, a statement about an individual's relationship to other individuals in their genealogical history; thus, it is a very personal understanding of one's genomic heritage. Race, on the other hand, is a pattern-based concept that has led scientists and laypersons alike to draw conclusions about hierarchical organization of humans, which connect an individual to a larger preconceived geographically circumscribed or socially constructed group.
Maybe that doesn't seem straightforward on a first reading, but it isn't that difficult to unpack. Ancestry is about who your ancestors were and where they came from. Basically it's the process of how you came to be. Race is a categorization that is made based on how you match up to a pattern. Barack Obama, for example, is equally of European and African ancestry. Yet in the United States his divided ancestry is usually collapsed into the racial category of black, based primarily on outward features that match the pattern associated with that race. If he had grown up in northern Minnesota, associated only with white people, and married a woman exclusively of Scandinavian ancestry, he still would never be considered white in the United States because he just doesn't look white (which is to say that his features don't match the pattern associated with being white).

I suppose this is all fairly mundane, but it is very easy to forget the distinction, and perhaps difficult to articulate. If I ever have reason to explain the difference, I'll remember that it boils down to process vs. pattern.


Continue reading...

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

Earth's Warming Enters a New Pause

Richard Muller is a University of California, Berkeley physicist who took an interest in climate science. Concerned that the temperature data analysis done by other climate research groups might be flawed, a popular accusation of climate skeptics at the time [1], in 2010 Muller founded Berkeley Earth, an independent non-profit organization, to independently investigate the modern climate record. Climate skeptics were enthusiastic, with Anthony Watts even pledging to accept whatever result Muller found. Unsurprisingly, when Berkeley Earth's results basically confirmed those of NOAA, NASA, etc [2], Watts and other skeptics found reasons to be dissatisfied.

With that as background, last week Berkeley Earth released their analysis of 2015 and found it to be "unambiguously" the warmest year of the modern era.


In their press release, Berkeley Earth highlights the fact that they were conservative in not being willing to declare 2014 as the warmest year, as NASA and NOAA did.
Berkeley Earth has taken a cautious approach to announcing hottest years. A year ago, we announced that 2014 was not a clear record, but only in a statistical tie with 2005 and 2010. Now, however, it is clear that 2015 is the hottest year on record by a significant margin.
As you can see from the figure above, the average global temperature fluctuates from year to year, yet there is clearly an underlying trend. Skeptics have charged that there has been no warming since 1998, which was a strong El Niño year. This 'pause' in warming has been trumpeted as though it is incompatible with warming due to CO2 emissions. Although the timescale was too short to be certain of any particular trend, even some mainstream climate scientists began to treat the pause as a real phenomenon, though usually attributing it to temporary secondary factors (e.g. La Niña). Others thought it might just be statistical noise. In the press release Muller says,
This new high temperature record confirms our previous interpretation that the pause was temporary and that global warming has not slowed.
Now that 2015 is the unambiguously warmest year (NOAA, NASA, and the U.K.'s Met Office Hadley Centre all agree on this), will talk of the pause vanish? It would not be surprising if the next few years--maybe even a decade--are not as warm as 2015 [3]. Is it too cynical of me to think that skeptics will start speaking of 2015 as the beginning of a new pause? Alternatively, they may discount 2015 as a strong El Niño year, ignoring the fact that 1998 was also a strong El Niño year. Or perhaps we will hear a lot more about the virtues of satellite data, which are more amenable to the skeptical view as demonstrated by a recent hearing held by Rep. Lamar Smith and Sen. Ted Cruz?

I'll end this post by including a short video of an interview with Richard Muller from a couple of years ago, where he explains how he came to join the scientific consensus.



Notes:
1. The 'climategate' brouhaha began at the end of 2009. You remember climategate, right? Remember how stolen emails were breathlessly reported to show that the warming was based on a biased and dishonest analysis?

2. It turns out that government grants are so powerful that even an organization not funded by the government is compelled to arrive at the scientific consensus. Government grants are some seriously strong stuff!

3. Just from a purely statistical standpoint.



Continue reading...

Friday, January 15, 2016

Some Science and Medical Myths are Tough to Correct

Last month the journal Nature published a news article, The science myths that will not die. It lists five myths that, while based on a kernel of truth, are actually false. They are:

1. Screening saves lives for all types of cancer
2. Antioxidants are good and free radicals are bad
3. Humans have exceptionally large brains
4. Individuals learn best when taught in their preferred learning style
5. The human population is growing exponentially (and we're doomed)

Myths can extend into the history of science as well, as a linked article from 2013 illustrates. Most of it revolves around Joseph Meister, the first person saved from rabies by a vaccine made by Louis Pasteur. The story goes that when the Nazis invaded Paris, they asked Meister, who was working as a caretaker at the Pasteur Institute, the location of Pasteur's grave. In an act of loyalty, Meister shot and killed himself rather than give up the location of the tomb.

However, newer research tells a very different and more tragic tale. (Those darn revisionist historians!) As the Nazis approached Paris, Meister sent his wife and children away. Believing that they had been killed in a bombing campaign, he committed suicide by gas a few hours before they returned. Eugene Wollman, a scientist at the Pasteur Institute, wrote of this in his diary, "Life has an extraordinarily refined cruelty."

Anyway, back to the first article: It is accompanied by a box where Nature lists the myths most frustrating to doctors and scientists polled by Nature.

1. Vaccines cause autism
2. Paracetamol (acetaminophen) works through known mechanisms
3. The brain is walled off from the immune system
4. Homeopathy works.

OK, really? The idea that acetaminophen works through known mechanisms frustrates doctors and scientists? I guess I fell for this one in that I assumed the mechanism of acetaminophen's actions were known. But how on earth does this rise to such levels of irritation as to be listed with vaccines/autism and homeopathy? Is this just a thing among pharmacologists? Does anybody out there know?



Continue reading...

Wednesday, December 02, 2015

Climate Science and the Republican Soviet-Style Dictatorship

The post title may be a little clickbaity, but the words aren't mine. Conservative New York Times columnist David Brooks published a column yesterday in which he wrote that on climate change,

the G.O.P. has come to resemble a Soviet dictatorship — a vast majority of Republican politicians can’t publicly say what they know about the truth of climate change because they’re afraid the thought police will knock on their door and drag them off to an AM radio interrogation. [1]

Comparisons to Hitler, the Nazis, Stalin, or other authoritarian regimes of history are a dime a dozen these days. Ordinarily we might expect the charge that Republicans are acting like Soviets to come from someone on the left wing of the U.S. political spectrum, but Brooks comes from the right and seems to be giving voice to a quiet minority (presumably) within his own party [2].

Brooks's column led New York Magazine's Jonathan Chait to muse about the GOP's orientation toward climate change, citing data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to rebut a Wall Street Journal columnist's recent assertions. Continuing, Chait wrote,
Of course, refuting climate-science skepticism with NOAA data runs into the problem that Republicans reject NOAA data. House Science Committee chairman Lamar Smith has used his power to accuse federal scientists of falsifying climate data. Smith has no evidence to support his charge, but the accusation is in keeping with the conservative belief that the theory of anthropogenic global warming is the product of a vast conspiracy among thousands of scientists worldwide to enrich themselves. (The chairman of the Senate’s environment committee is a fellow subscriber to this theory.) The theory is just as bonkers as the belief that the government faked the 9/11 attacks or the moon landings, with the main difference being that it informs a first-order public policy question and is also accepted doctrine within one of the two major American political parties.

The current spat between Smith and NOAA is where Brooks's comparison to the Soviets perhaps becomes most relevant. Soviet agriculture and biology were harmed for decades because the ideas of Trofim Lysenko became party doctrine. Thousands of mainstream Russian biologists were disposed of in one way or another and the Russian people suffered the consequences of such wrong-headed biology. It may seem absurd that a political organization would take a stand on the proper way to understand biology, but such is life in the political world, I guess.

This is not to say that the GOP treatment of government scientists in any way rises to that of the Soviets. Nevertheless, the Soviet experience does serve as a historical warning of the foolishness of political parties standing against the scientific mainstream. And it certainly must be demoralizing to many scientists to persistently be held in such contempt by roughly half of the legislative branch of government, and most of their potential executive heads.

It doesn't have to be this way. Just a couple of weeks ago The Atlantic did an article on conservative solutions to climate change. If Republicans would take the issue seriously, they might be able to build a legacy on this issue to be proud of.

Increasingly I have seen political commentators suggest that the GOP is becoming post-truth and post-policy [3]. I hope that they are wrong, but lately my hope finds little encouragement. However, as the saying goes, hope springs eternal.


Notes:
1. Maybe it's just me, but I get the feeling Brooks's statement is true for a number of issues.
2. Senator Lindsay Graham has been outspoken on this, but he seems to be alone among presidential candidates. And anyway he has almost no support in the polls.
3. Post-truth, meaning that party leaders tell blatant lies as a matter of course. Post-policy, meaning that the party has no meaningful policy solutions, but lives only by stoking resentment over current policies and advancing purely symbolic fights.



Continue reading...

  © Blogger templates The Professional Template by Ourblogtemplates.com 2008

Back to TOP