Oklahoma is Fulfilling Prophecy

Several passages of scripture speak of "earthquakes in divers places" as a sign of the times. Matthew 24:7 is a fine example:

For nation shall rise against nation, and kingdom against kingdom: and there shall be famines, and pestilences, and earthquakes, in divers places.

Although earthquakes can be devastating, I'm not really sure what to make of that phrase because, like wars, earthquakes are always with us. I don't know if their frequency is common knowledge, but I have spoken with people who were surprised to learn that earthquakes happen everyday all around the world. Most earthquakes don't make the news because they don't cause damage or happen in uninhabited places (or simply aren't considered newsworthy), but they are there and seismologists track them.

One folk interpretation of this phrase that I have heard is that earthquakes will happen where they haven't before. I don't know whether such a place exists or not, but Oklahoma may be as good a candidate for this interpretation as any. It is certainly not an earthquake virgin, but check out the history of earthquakes of M3 or greater in Oklahoma since 1978.

For geologists, the reason for this surge in earthquakes is pretty clear: hydraulic fracturing (fracking). This month The New Yorker has an article, Weather Underground, that tells a sadly familiar story--the confidence of scientists, the concern of citizens, and the fecklessness of government. The problem is relatively straightforward.

Many of the larger earthquakes are caused by disposal wells, where the billions of barrels of brackish water brought up by drilling for oil and gas are pumped back into the ground. (Hydraulic fracturing, or fracking—in which chemically treated water is injected into the earth to fracture rocks in order to access oil and gas reserves—causes smaller earthquakes, almost always less than 3.0.) Disposal wells trigger earthquakes when they are dug too deep, near or into basement rock, or when the wells impinge on a fault line.

The solution is not to prohibit fracking, but to restrict disposal wells from being near basement rock or fault lines. But Oklahoma is built on the oil industry and state regulators and politicians have a sense of willful ignorance that is fitting for a state represented by Senator James Inhofe (who recently threw a snowball on the Senate floor as prop evidence against global warming).

In September, 2014, at the request of two state representatives, the Oklahoma legislature conducted an official interim study on induced seismicity. In subsequent hearings, more than five hours of testimony were presented to a committee of legislators. Holland, Dana Murphy, of the Oklahoma Corporation Commission, and Todd Halihan, the professor of geology at Oklahoma State University, all spoke about the link between disposal wells and earthquakes. Tim Baker, of the O.C.C., spoke about the link between drilling into basement rock and earthquakes.

After the hearings, Mark McBride, the committee chair, issued a press release. It denied “a correlation between the injection wells and seismic activity,” and quoted a legislator’s speculation that perhaps the quakes were caused by “the current drought.” None of the scientists who had been present were quoted.

They have no peer-reviewed science on their side, but that doesn't stop state officials from postulating natural causes or drought as the cause, and calling for more research.

The whole story is worth reading. Recently there have been some modest signs of progress; the state can't play dumb forever. Just long enough to perhaps be a sign of the times.

---