Saturday, April 28, 2018

Would You Buy A Product That Tells You It Doesn't Work? Of Course You Would!

Whenever I go to a drug store, I feel a renewed sense of amazement. Consider the following two propositions:

1. You go to a drug store because you either have a health problem, or you want to prevent a health problem. (For our purposes, we're ignoring convenience needs like greeting cards, beauty products, food, etc.)

2. You want to buy a product that will fix or prevent your problem.

Those seem like reasonable assumptions to me. And yet, many of the products say right on the label, "This product is not intended to diagnose, treat, cure, or prevent any disease."

But wait, I thought you wanted something that treats, cures, or prevents a disease. Then why would you buy something that tells you it doesn't?

And it's not like it's just you. The sheer number of them testifies that lots of people buy them! Anecdotal experience bears this out, like when it's flu season and your neighbor says it's time to start taking a product that you know says it's not intended to prevent disease. I guess people just want to feel like they are doing something--anything--and are willing to pay for it.

We humans are weird.

By the way, I just want to let you know that I'll be starting up a new retirement investment fund. It's not intended to provide you any retirement income, but it will make you feel like you are preparing for retirement. I look forward to your business.

Notes:

For more, see FDA 101: Dietary Supplements

See also my previous post with a literally true title, There is More Regulation of Your Dog's Medicine than Your Dietary Supplements



Continue reading...

Saturday, April 21, 2018

The Creationification of America

In this strange era of 'fake news,' where truth is discounted as lies, and lies are accepted as truth [1], I've found myself wondering how we got to this point. There are many factors, to be sure. However, my mind has been drawn to the long history of creationism. Perhaps a quick review is in order.

Although belief in a creator God extends back millenia, creationism in the modern context refers to a reactive movement within conservative religions to scientific fields dealing with the origin of the earth and life on it. It is historically rooted in fundamentalist Christianity, and in the U.S. the two are usually associated together [2]. A century ago, the Seventh-day Adventist, George McCready Price, pioneered creationist arguments against evolution and geology and published widely. Coming from a somewhat marginalized Christian tradition, his influence was less than it might otherwise have been. (It was enough, however, that Joseph Fielding Smith cited him in his own writings [3].)

John Whitcomb and Henry Morris are credited with successfully injecting modern creationism into Christianity with the publication of their book, The Genesis Flood in 1961. Whitcomb and Morris built on the foundation that Price had laid to argue that, not only is the Bible inerrant and accurate in its description of Creation and the Flood, but that science itself supports the Bible and that scientific arguments to the contrary are based on false and biased presuppositions. This basic thesis has been the dominant theme of creationist arguments ever since, and their writings have labored to show the scientific legitimacy of creationism. And while most of the court battles over the role of creationism in public education were settled decades ago, support for creationism remains strong, as evidenced by two creationist-themed parks in Kentucky.

As a result of this history, generations of conservative Christians have been trained to believe that mainstream scientists hold to ideas that are transparently stupid and are therefore either themselves evil, or dupes of the forces of evil. Adding insult to injury, the purveyors of these ridiculous ideas are upheld by public institutions and even the State. This training has put these Christians at odds with an increasingly secular culture--not just (or even primarily) in terms of how one should act in the world, but in understanding how the world works. Arguments over the age of the earth may seem quaint and unimportant, but they quickly impact decisions of which authorities we should trust and with whom we identify. (That, to me, explains why so many conservative Christians are also hostile to the concept of anthropogenic global warming, where virtually no theological beliefs are at stake.)

We may worry about the way in which media outlets, reinforced by social media, have divided us into bubbles of alternative facts and realities. And we may wonder how Evangelical Christians (and some of their fellow travelers) can have such strong support for a President from whom falsehoods so freely flow. However, if the history of creationism has shown anything it is that the very categories of truth and falsehood are contestable because they exist within a context of assumptions and prior beliefs [4]. Moreover, the resilient creationist bubble has existed for a long time. Perhaps we should not be that surprised that the insurgent bubble has expanded to other areas of science, economics, and any other subject where prevailing authority runs counter to group identity. Facts, especially complicated facts, are often no match for a simple story [5], and persecution narratives and conspiracy theories spread easily.

When it comes to your cause, accuracy and consistency is of less importance than utility. That's one of the lessons of creationism, and a lot of people seem to have learned that lesson.


Notes:
1. Actually, this problem is as old as humanity. I think it's just more noticeable right now.
2. Christian creationism has been imported and adapted into the Islamic world as well.
3. James E. Talmage tried in vain to warn him against accepting Price as an authority on geology.
4. If that sounds like the kind of relativism that conservative Christians hate so much, welcome to one of the ironies of creationism.
5. Creationism is but one manifestation of this very human problem.



Continue reading...

Saturday, April 07, 2018

Mules: On Confusing Outcomes with Inputs

While surfing the Internet I came across a new scientific article describing progress in characterizing the donkey genome. This reminded me of a brief conversation I had last year at church where someone asserted that the fact that mules (the product of mating horses and donkeys) are sterile is evidence that, in contrast to evolution, God created various kinds of animals that reproduce after their own kind [1].

I don't know where the notion that mules represent evidence against evolution came from, but it has been around for a long time. For example, Joseph Fielding Smith wrote in Man, His Origin and Destiny (1954):

There are various breeds of dogs, but they do not breed with cats. The cat family, composed of the domestic animal and the wild varieties, may mix. The horse and the ass are not of the same family and while man has been able to obtain from them the mule, the mule is rudely and humorously spoken of as being "without pride of ancestry and hope of posterity." The Lord decreed that they should not mix. This determining factor is a sufficient answer to organic evolution [2].

What's strange about this is that reproductive isolation is the expected and required outcome of evolution, not a barrier to it. It's a confusion of the outcome with the input [3]. Reproductive isolation occurs through a variety of mechanisms and sends the genetics of two proto-species on their own trajectory. Once separated, the two gene pools may eventually go on to further sub-divide through reproductive isolation. One species becomes two, then two become four, and so on. At some point, descendants of a lineage can no longer interbreed with their cousins in the other lineage and the genetic isolation is complete. Along the way, the different pools accumulate different variants, leading to differences in shape, color, physiology, and lifestyle. At a simplified level, this how evolution works and how the variety of life on earth has come to pass.

Just limiting ourselves to currently living animals we can see reproductive isolation in various stages of progress, and it's the reason that defining what constitutes a species can be difficult. For example, giraffe and okapai are separate species with a common ancestor of about 11.5 million years ago. But based on genetics there is now good reason to consider giraffe as four different species (even though they can interbreed in captivity) with a few sub-species, rather than one species with nine to eleven sub-species. (This is the kind of thing taxonomists fight over.)

Back to my conversation, it was a group setting and the topic of evolution was a distraction from the business at hand, so I didn't get much chance to respond. Next time I hope to be quick enough to turn the tables and say something like, "the fact that mules are sterile is evidence for evolution, not against it." That will probably cause some surprise, and will hopefully lead to a deeper discussion.


Notes:
1. I have addressed this issue before (link). Also, did you know that the phrase "after their own kind" is not found in the scriptures? Also, there have been a few documented cases of fertile mules.

2. In fairness to President Smith, the field of genetics came into existence around the time that he became an apostle, and the molecular structure of DNA had only recently been determined when this was published. Biology has come a long way since then.

3. This is really a generalization about animals. New species of plants have been known to form through hybridization. And all kinds of things happen with microbes.



Continue reading...

  © Blogger templates The Professional Template by Ourblogtemplates.com 2008

Back to TOP