Wednesday, November 06, 2024

A Brief Thought on the Election Experiment

This morning my mind reverted to the empirical. This election was an experiment, and the results revealed that Donald Trump is what approximately half of the people in this country want. Even with everything that has happened over the last 8 years, and all the lies, January 6, and so on, like a dog returning to its vomit, they chose him and validated his behavior along with that of the Republican party that stood by him. They set their hearts on him. Oh, people will have their reasons, but I wouldn't take most of them too seriously (more on that in a minute).

Yes, this is disappointing, but also revealing. It's like learning that a romantic interest no longer cares about you. Some of the signals in the past could be interpreted in a more charitable light, but now there is no question and the state of your relationship is bracingly clear. Similarly, we are not in this position due to an unfortunate set of circumstances or flawed strategic decisions. About half of the people in this country know what Trump is and want him. I've already begun to see articles that say things along the lines of, "voters were concerned about the economy," blah blah blah, but I'm not buying it. These are after-the-fact justifications for a decision that was made in their gut. Who Trump is and/or what he was selling appealed to them for whatever subconscious reason. The rest is mostly window dressing to convince others (and perhaps themselves) that they had a good reason to accept his obvious poor character and pathologies [1].

We are in a new era. It is what it is, and now it is plain to see.

Notes:
1. This wasn't simply a choice in the lesser of two evils forced upon a reluctant electorate. Trump overwhelmingly won the primary election [2].
2. I'm proud to say that I have voted against Trump in every primary and general election that he has been on the ballot. I did what I could.


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Sunday, October 27, 2024

It's Time to Accept the Fact that the National Republican Party Isn't What it Used to Be

There are certainly points of continuity between the Republican party of the last several decades and the party today, but it's time to accept the fact that the current national party just isn't what it used to be. The most obvious evidence of this is to consider the standing of Mitt Romney, John McCain, and George W. Bush--the last three Republican standard-bearers. Sure, Romney and McCain lost to Obama (and McCain passed away) so it's somewhat understandable that the party has no use for them anymore. But George W. Bush was a two-term president! Remember?! Now he's nothing [1].

I believe that there are a lot of Republican voters soldiering on because they haven't yet come to terms with what has happened to the party. Comforted by Fox News and other Republican propaganda outlets [2], they may even blame Democrats for all the nastiness. It is one thing to believe the garbage that Donald Trump and his allies say, or simply not care. But let's not have this business that somehow Democrats are responsible for the unpleasantness around Trump.

A raft of Republican former and current politicians, as well as many of Trump's first-term staff (including his Vice President!), are trying to wave the country away from him. In some cases they are simply not endorsing him, while in others they are outright endorsing Harris. This is not the fault of Democrats being mean. It is the fault of Donald Trump and his poor character. (In fact, most of Trump's problems can be traced back to his poor character. This ought to be obvious, and failure to accept it is like trying to make the universe revolve around Earth.) Moreover, Trump has ushered a collection of kooks and misfits into the party and given them influence.

Consider the following changes:

Once the Republican party aspired to be the party of smart ideas and good governance. Now it is the party of justifying whatever Donald Trump does or says.

Once the Republican party stood against Soviet Russia. Now it embraces "useful idiots" who repeat propaganda put out by Russia designed to weaken the U.S.

Once the Republican party stood against authoritarian regimes and valued alliances with other free countries. Now it sees those relationships through the lens of short-term political or financial benefit.

Once the Republican party sought to govern compassionately. Now it foments hatred against broad groups of people (citizens and non-citizens) for political gain.

Once the Republican party upheld the rule of law and personal accountability. Now obstruction of justice and breaking the law are fine if it's in the service of Trump or other favored goals.
I don't mean to whitewash the sins of the Republican party of the past or glorify its history. Nor am I saying that the Democratic party (which has undergone its own changes) is without flaw. I'm simply saying that as long as the Republican party's main purpose is to exalt Donald Trump (or any one person) and receives the validation of voters, it will never return to the values of its best aspirations.

It's time to see the party for what it is and not cling to an idealized past.

Notes:
1. To the extent that Bush's status is a reflection of Republicans souring on the Iraq war and a belief that the Bush administration misled them, it is deeply ironic that their instinct has been to set their hearts on someone even more dishonest.
2. If you think that my application of the term propaganda to Fox News is exaggerated and inflammatory, then we can have a discussion after you have familiarized yourself with the internal communications that the Dominion lawsuit brought to light.


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Saturday, September 28, 2024

Project 2025 Drags Vaccines into the Abortion Wars

Just for fun (of a sorts), I decided to see what the infamous Project 2025 document has to say about abortion. My curiousity was piqued by a news article wherein someone from the Heritage Foundation said that the claim of Democrats that Project 2025 calls for banning abortion nationwide is a lie. Sometimes I like to do spot checks to see who is telling the truth.

The first thing I will say is that if you download a copy and do a word search on the word "abortion," there are a LOT of hits. In fact, if all you did is click through each hit, you could be forgiven for thinking that abortion is the main topic addressed in the document. Anyway, right up front on page 6 the document says this:

But the Dobbs decision is just the beginning. Conservatives in the states and in Washington, including in the next conservative Administration, should push as hard as possible to protect the unborn in every jurisdiction in America. In particular, the next conservative President should work with Congress to enact the most robust protections for the unborn that Congress will support while deploying existing federal powers to protect innocent life and vigorously complying with statutory bans on the federal funding of abortion.
I'll let you decide if that sounds like a call for a national ban. In spite of the many references to abortion, I was unable to find any position on what limits there should be or whether there should be any exceptions to abortion bans [1]. Just this follow-up sentence:
Conservatives should ardently pursue these pro-life and pro-family policies while recognizing the many women who find themselves in immensely difficult and often tragic situations and the heroism of every choice to become a mother.
Sounds a bit like empty "thoughts and prayers" to me [2], but maybe I'm being too cynical.

As I browsed further, I was disheartened to see this kind of inflammatory language about vaccines.
The CDC oversaw and funded the development and testing of the COVID-19 vaccines with aborted fetal cell lines, insensitive to the consciences of tens of thousands to hundreds of thousands of people who objected to taking a vaccine with such a link to abortion....There is never any justification for ending a child’s life as part of research, and the research benefits from splicing or growing aborted fetal cells and aborted baby body parts can easily be provided by alternative sources.
And later, this:
Thousands of Americans of faith and conscience wish to receive various childhood vaccinations for themselves and their families but are not allowed to receive vaccines that are derived through or tested on aborted fetal cells. For example, the chickenpox, Hepatitis, and MMR vaccines in the U.S. are all linked to abortion in this way. There are ethically derived alternatives abroad that have been used safely there for decades, but the FDA makes it exceedingly difficult for Americans to import them....To avoid future moral coercion of the sort experienced with the COVID-19 vaccines, the FDA and NIH should require the development of drugs and biologics that are free from moral taint and switch to cell lines that are not derived from aborted fetal cell lines or aborted baby body parts.
There is a lot to say about this, but I will try to be brief.

1. It is true that a handful of cell lines (like, four) in vaccine production and research were originally derived from aborted fetuses in the 1960s, 70s, and 80s. Importantly, these fetuses were not aborted for the purpose of obtaining cells. Rather, the abortions were happening anyway and the fetal tissues were donated to medical use. The cells derived from these fetuses were useful because they were unlikely to be contaminated with any other undetectable viruses, they were human-derived and supported the growth of the vaccine strains of virus well, and they could be propagated and expanded to meet production needs for the foreseeable future. Two of those cell lines were further genetically modified to better support virus growth and transformed such that they can propagate indefinitely--at this point you could think of them as cancer cells. One of them is ubquitous in biomedical research.

2. There is no need for new human fetal cells for the production of these vaccines. We are talking about cell lines that have been in use for decades. And the references to "ending a child's life for research" and "aborted baby body parts" are just prejudical inflammatory language.

3. The vaccines produced from these cell lines have benefited millions of children by saving them from death and disability resulting from these diseases. Moreover, since rubella (the "R" in MMR) can cross the placenta and damage a fetus, we can also say that a great many fetuses have been protected as well.

4. The Catholic Church is famously conservative on reproductive issues (even more so than our Church), and even the Vatican has considered this history and repeatedly affirmed that these vaccines are acceptable for use. Obviously we don't all take our marching orders from the Vatican, but it shows that Project 2025 is not entitled to the presumption of moral superiority on this issue.

5. The most popular COVID-19 vaccines (mRNA vaccines from Pfizer and Moderna) were not produced using these cell lines. So the complaint that conscientious objectors to the COVID-19 vaccines, on the grounds of abortion, were morally coerced is weak at best. (Too bad rightwingers stirred up prejudice and distrust against mRNA vaccines [3]. Nothing seems to make them happy.)

6. Switching cell lines for mass production of vaccines, especially vaccines that have decades of safety and efficacy data behind them, is not a casual decision. It would be a lengthy and costly process. For the adenovirus-based COVID-19 vaccines, in fact there are no other options that I am aware of. And while it's nice and easy to blame FDA for making it difficult, if FDA were to relax their process I have a feeling that the Heritage Foundation would be right there to criticize them on the other side for lowering standards and approving insufficently tested vaccines.

7. I get the feeling that Project 2025 is not the work of serious, responsible thought.

Like I've said previously, people generally view the donation of bodies, organs, and tissues to medical science favorably, but for some reason the word "fetus" gives people the vapors and conjures up all kinds of lurid imagry. We need not celebrate the abortions that made these vaccines possible, but we can be greatful for the immeasurable good that has come from the cells they produced. Attempts to taint vaccines in the eyes of people will only end up multiplying harm.

Notes:
1. To their credit, they do not consider removing an ectopic pregnancy to be an abortion. On the other hand, emergency contraception gets sort of lumped in with abortion. The reasons are not air tight, but it's the same contradiction that plagues those who want to declare a fertilized egg to be fully human and somehow avoid the problematic ramifications that flow from that.
2. Maybe we could honor them at football games or something.
3. You can sense a trace of this in a different section of the document where it refers to the COVID-19 "vaccine", complete with quotes as if the fact that it is a vaccine is questionable.


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Saturday, January 13, 2024

A Brief Retrospective on the Global Warming Debate

You may have seen news reports that 2023 was the warmest year on record. The same thing is said every few years, so there's a risk that we just become numb to it. As I thought about this new record, it occured to me that a whole generation has grown up almost in the amount of time since I have been paying attention to the issue. They may not realize how little the political debate has changed in comparision to what has developed in the data. Even for those of us who have been around for a while, it's easy to lose track. I think it's worth taking a brief look back.

The graphic above is the latest temperature data from NASA with my addition of a few semi-arbitrary landmarks. The first is from 1988 when NASA climate scientist James Hansen testified to Congress that the signal of global warming due to greenhouse gases had been detected, and forecasted additional warming with an effect on extreme climate events, like summer heatwaves. This testimony put the public on notice that global warming was real.

The second is the 2006 film, An Inconvenient Truth, in which then-recent democratic Vice President Al Gore sought to educate and warn the public about global warming and climate change. Naturally, the political right was stirred to indignation and launched a campaign to savage him. A flood of commentary picked apart alleged flaws and hyperbole, and blamed Gore for making climate change a political issue (as the political right began cementing it into a tribal identity marker).

Finally, I've indicated the "Climategate" controversy of 2009, in which hackers obtained emails and documents from climate researchers. The contents were then leaked in an attempt to discredit climate scientists. Emails were taken out of context to make it seem that climate scientists were manipulating the data in order to mislead the public. These claims were picked up in the national press and amplified on blogs, etc. However, it didn't take that much effort to figure out that the scientists had been misrepresented. After a variety of official investigations, none of the scientists were found to have been dishonest. But the damage to the public perception of climate science was done.

I stopped at 2009 because the terms of the debate about global warming really haven't changed much since then. Year after year, the warming trend continues, and year after year, the political right offers up the same basic set of excuses for refusing to believe that there is a problem or that anything can (or should) be done about it. Just a few months ago an article was brought to my attention by that annoying feature Microsoft added to the Windows task bar that pops us with suggested content. It was essentially another right-wing diatribe about how scientists who don't believe in global warming are excluded, and blah blah blah. It could have been written in 2009 because it was just another recycling of the same old talking points without any recognition of the temperature data since then. But I guess it makes for evergreen right-wing content.


Fox News and other right-wing content providers will continue to huff and harumph about this issue, and assure their watchers/readers/listeners that THEY are the wise ones in a world gone mad. But eventually it will be clear to all but the most daft who was right about what was happening. Unfortunately, by then the deceivers will have made their money and lived their lives. Nobody will be accountable [1]. In the meantime, keep pointing to the data.

Notes:
1. I mean, what good does it do to rail against, say, Rush Limbaugh now? He's dead. And with each year that goes by, fewer people will even remember him. But the attitudes he helped foster live on.


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